New England is a 7-point favorite to beat Buffalo with a game total of 48.5. Visit our odds page for updated lines.
Fantasy Alarm predicts the Pats’ defense will do a number on the Bills’ backfield. The DFS site projects Taylor will complete just 16.5 passes, far south of the 20.5 listed at the Westgate Las Vegas SuperBook. The sports book’s over-under of 82.5 rushing yards for McCoy is a tad above Fantasy Alarm’s prediction of 70.8 as well.
Buffalo’s defense looks like it could possibly slow down New England’s high-scoring passing offense. Fantasy Alarm projects Brady will toss 283.7 yards through the air, below the 308.5 offered at the Westgate. But the greatest disparity between the two is found in the number of receiving yards by Gronkowski. Fantasy Alarm predicts 62.4 to 93.5 in Vegas.
For those looking for an against-the-spread pick and total play on the contest, check out our Bills-Pats betting preview.
Contributing handicapper Chris Andrews presents his take on the game and offers a pick here, too.
The SuperBook’s props, odds, and relevant Fantasy Alarm projections are as follows:
BILLS AT PATRIOTS PROPS AND ODDS
FIRST SCORE OF THE GAME WILL BE: TOUCHDOWN -185 ANY OTHER SCORE +165
TOTAL COMPLETIONS BY: TYROD TAYLOR (BUF) OVER 20.5 -110 UNDER 20.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 16.5
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES+INTERCEPTIONS BY: TYROD TAYLOR (BUF) OVER 2.0 -155 UNDER 2.0 +135 Fantasy Alarm projection: 2.3 (1.4 pass, 0.9 rush)
TOTAL RUSHING YARDS BY: LESEAN McCOY (BUF) OVER 82.5 -110 UNDER 82.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 70.8
TOTAL GROSS PASSING YARDS BY: TOM BRADY (NE) OVER 308.5 -110 UNDER 308.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 283.7
TOTAL TOUCHDOWN PASSES BY: TOM BRADY (NE) OVER 2.5 +130 UNDER 2.5 -150 Fantasy Alarm projection: 2.0
TOTAL RECEIVING YARDS BY: ROB GRONKOWSKI (NE) OVER 93.5 -110 UNDER 93.5 -110 Fantasy Alarm projection: 62.4
TOTAL QB SACKS BY: BOTH TEAMS OVER 5.0 EVEN UNDER 5.0 -120
TOTAL POINTS BY: BILLS OVER 20.5 -110 UNDER 20.5 -110
TOTAL POINTS BY: PATRIOTS OVER 27.5 -110 UNDER 27.5 -110 **PLAYERS MUST PLAY FOR ACTION; NO PARLAYS
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